02 November 2008

Iran and our next Pres

World Press points to an article, "US blowback in Iran's elections" by Hossein Askari in Asia Times that analyzes the possible influence of our Presidential election outcome on Iran's next election. *
In Iranian eyes, one candidate, Democratic Senator Barack Obama, believes in dialogue and peaceful resolution of conflicts. While the other, Republican Senator John McCain, is belligerent and endorses the military option. The leaders in Tehran see Ahmadinejad better positioned to tackle a president McCain, while a total break from Ahmadinejad would afford Iran the best opportunity for rapprochement with a president Obama. It is that clear cut.

... If there is a president McCain, there will be a second term for Ahmadinejad. If there is a president Obama, the next Iranian president will be a moderate, soft-spoken and Western-appealing individual, one who is not weighed down by Ahmadinejad's baggage and who can start afresh with the US and achieve favorable results for Iran with an Obama administration. In that event, the leader would come from Qalibaf, Najafi, Aref and Nahavandian.

The Supreme Leader and leading contenders in Iran will be watching the US presidential results as never before.

* Note: While the dateline of the article is Hong Kong, Askari is "professor of international business and international affairs at George Washington University" as noted at the end of the article.

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